Polymarket (Global)
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?
↓ 5%
Updated 8m ago · Settles Nov 1, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
7¢
Bid 6¢ · Ask 7¢
Pricedger fair probability
3%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+3.4 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
41,251
Fine-print risk
16/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com is equal to or below 5% for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that Predicti…
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