Polymarket (Global)
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?
December 31, 2026
Updated 46m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
25¢
Bid 24¢ · Ask 26¢
Pricedger fair probability
24%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.5 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
62,294
Fine-print risk
30/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“…
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