Polymarket (Global)
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?
December 31
Updated 40m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
31¢
Bid 30¢ · Ask 32¢
Pricedger fair probability
30%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.1 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
32,257
Fine-print risk
48/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen. “No lo…
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