Polymarket (Global)
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?
October 31
Updated 52m ago · Settles Oct 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
98¢
Bid 98¢ · Ask 98¢
Pricedger fair probability
99%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
56,167
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any full calendar day between the day of market creation and the specified date, inclusive (Paris time), passes without any curfew in effect in any part of the City of Paris, France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A calendar day passes without any curfew in effect if, at no point between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM Paris time on that day, a curfew is in effect in any part…
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