Polymarket (Global)
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?
October 31
Updated 36m ago · Settles Oct 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
32¢
Bid 29¢ · Ask 35¢
Pricedger fair probability
31%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-1.9 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
33,472
Fine-print risk
84/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pakistan takes a qualifying military action against Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Pakistan, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A…
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