Polymarket (Global)
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Updated 17m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
4¢
Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
319,202
Fine-print risk
52/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange. OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valu…
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