Polymarket (Global)
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
Oil < $80; R Senate
Updated 2m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
8¢
Bid 8¢ · Ask 8¢
Pricedger fair probability
4%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+3.8 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
38,088
Fine-print risk
50/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Oil < $80; R Senate" if oil is less than $80 at the close of trading on November 2, 2026, and the Republican Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election. This market will resolve to "Oil < $80; D Senate" if oil is less than $80 at the close of trading on November 2, 2026, and the Democratic Party wins control of the United States Senate in th…
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