Polymarket (Global)

No one announced as next James Bond?

No Bond chosen

Updated 11m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

20¢

Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢

Pricedger fair probability

18%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.3 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

534,545

Fine-print risk

42/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resol…

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