Polymarket (Global)
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
Updated 10m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
61¢
Bid 60¢ · Ask 61¢
Pricedger fair probability
61%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.4 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
33,627
Fine-print risk
8/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf
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