Polymarket (Global)
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?
November 30, 2026
Updated 1h ago · Settles Jul 1, 27 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
8¢
Bid 8¢ · Ask 8¢
Pricedger fair probability
5%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.5 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
47,569
Fine-print risk
36/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe. Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequ…
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