Polymarket (Global)
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?
October 24
Updated 20m ago · Settles Oct 25, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
68¢
Bid 66¢ · Ask 69¢
Pricedger fair probability
69%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.5 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
27,196
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.…
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