Polymarket (Global)
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?
October 23
Updated 31m ago · Settles Oct 23, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
14¢
Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢
Pricedger fair probability
11%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.7 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
30,146
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes…
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