Polymarket (Global)
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?
November 15
Updated 37m ago · Settles Nov 16, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
44¢
Bid 43¢ · Ask 45¢
Pricedger fair probability
44%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
72,141
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes…
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