Polymarket (Global)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

December 31

Updated 3m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

37¢

Bid 36¢ · Ask 37¢

Pricedger fair probability

36%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+0.3 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

2,654,611

Fine-print risk

30/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology