Polymarket (Global)
Wizards vs. Thunder
Wizards
Updated 15m ago · Settles Nov 8, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
18¢
Bid 17¢ · Ask 18¢
Pricedger fair probability
16%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.5 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
84,068
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
In the upcoming NBA game between Wizards and Thunder, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, tha…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology