Polymarket (Global)
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
October 31
Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 1, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
9¢
Bid 8¢ · Ask 9¢
Pricedger fair probability
5%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.8 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
1,427,013
Fine-print risk
48/100
Resolution-rule audit
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