Polymarket (Global)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
December 31
Updated 36m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
20¢
Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢
Pricedger fair probability
18%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.3 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
646,123
Fine-print risk
36/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused image…
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