Polymarket (Global)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5
O/U 6.5
Updated 13m ago · Settles Oct 18, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
49¢
Bid 48¢ · Ask 49¢
Pricedger fair probability
48%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
102,988
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This event refers to Game 5 of the ALCS originally scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on October 17, 2026. This game has been rescheduled to October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Please refer to mlb.com for the latest start time information. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 18 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guard…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology