Polymarket (Global)
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?
December 31, 2026
Updated 15m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
14¢
Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢
Pricedger fair probability
11%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.7 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
42,382
Fine-print risk
30/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio ceases to be U.S. Secretary of State for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Marco Rubio's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The re…
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