Polymarket (Global)

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)

Updated 21m ago · Settles Oct 26, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

69¢

Bid 68¢ · Ask 69¢

Pricedger fair probability

69%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+0.4 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

70,568

Fine-print risk

50/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between Gen.G and LYON in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G wins 2 or more games than LYON in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "LYON". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is comple…

Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.

Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence

Pro

See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive

Pro

Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Quarter-Kelly paper sizing

Pro

Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.

Unlock with Pricedger Pro

Start free trial

7 days free · No card required

Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.

The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal

Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.

See the full Pricedger analysis

Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology