Polymarket (Global)

Kash Patel out by December 31?

December 31

Updated 39m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

22¢

Bid 21¢ · Ask 22¢

Pricedger fair probability

20%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.2 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

415,379

Fine-print risk

30/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution…

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