Polymarket (Global)
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
Updated 31m ago · Settles Oct 27, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
38¢
Bid 37¢ · Ask 39¢
Pricedger fair probability
37%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.1 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
53,609
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset. An election will be con…
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