Polymarket (Global)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
October 31
Updated 3m ago · Settles Oct 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
82¢
Bid 81¢ · Ask 82¢
Pricedger fair probability
84%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
1,370,311
Fine-print risk
84/100
Resolution-rule audit
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