Polymarket (Global)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
October 15
Updated 3m ago · Settles Oct 16, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
95¢
Bid 94¢ · Ask 95¢
Pricedger fair probability
98%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+3.1 pts
On YES after fees · medium confidence
Volume
42,769
Fine-print risk
84/100
Resolution-rule audit
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