Polymarket (Global)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
November 15
Updated 42m ago · Settles Nov 16, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
74¢
Bid 73¢ · Ask 74¢
Pricedger fair probability
75%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.4 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
37,814
Fine-print risk
84/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the liste…
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