Polymarket (Global)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
December 31
Updated 4m ago · Settles Dec 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
61¢
Bid 60¢ · Ask 61¢
Pricedger fair probability
61%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.3 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
921,146
Fine-print risk
84/100
Resolution-rule audit
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