Polymarket (Global)
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
Bibi
Updated 56m ago · Settles Oct 28, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
40¢
Bid 36¢ · Ask 43¢
Pricedger fair probability
39%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-2.7 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
38,844
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Bibi” (Netanyahu bloc) if Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas win a greater combined total of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election than The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. This market will resolve to “Opp.” (opposition bloc) if T…
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