Polymarket (Global)
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
Updated 20m ago · Settles Oct 28, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
13¢
Bid 11¢ · Ask 15¢
Pricedger fair probability
10%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
47,875
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following groups of parties wins a combined total of 61 seats or more in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election: (a) The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu; or (b) Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. Otherwise, this market…
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