Polymarket (Global)
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Updated 56m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
7¢
Bid 4¢ · Ask 9¢
Pricedger fair probability
3%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
450,178
Fine-print risk
36/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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