Polymarket (Global)
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 1, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
12¢
Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢
Pricedger fair probability
8%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
706,677
Fine-print risk
50/100
Resolution-rule audit
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