Polymarket (Global)

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Updated 3m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

4¢

Bid 4¢ · Ask 4¢

Pricedger fair probability

1%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+3.0 pts

On NO after fees · medium confidence

Volume

1,368,453

Fine-print risk

30/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology