Polymarket (Global)
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
December 31
Updated 4m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
23¢
Bid 22¢ · Ask 24¢
Pricedger fair probability
21%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.2 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
397,459
Fine-print risk
48/100
Resolution-rule audit
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