Polymarket (Global)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
December 31
Updated 39m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
17¢
Bid 16¢ · Ask 17¢
Pricedger fair probability
14%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.2 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
297,548
Fine-print risk
62/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market resolves to “Yes” if the Iranian government officially announces and begins collecting fees, tolls, charges, tariffs, or similar payments from commercial vessels which are mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.” A qualifying fee must be an announced policy which applies generally…
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