Polymarket (Global)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?
October 31
Updated 58m ago · Settles Nov 1, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
0¢
Bid 0¢ · Ask 0¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
97,033
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount…
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