Polymarket (Global)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
December 31
Updated 4m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
8¢
Bid 7¢ · Ask 8¢
Pricedger fair probability
4%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.9 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
2,295,189
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
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