Polymarket (Global)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Updated 10m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
12¢
Bid 11¢ · Ask 13¢
Pricedger fair probability
9%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
1,889,991
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this m…
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