Polymarket (Global)
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?
December 31
Updated 10m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
25¢
Bid 23¢ · Ask 26¢
Pricedger fair probability
23%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
42,431
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilhan Omar is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Omar is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) she is criminally booked or processed; (ii) she is take…
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