Polymarket (Global)
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
December 31
Updated 24m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
14¢
Bid 13¢ · Ask 15¢
Pricedger fair probability
12%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.2 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
60,693
Fine-print risk
36/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials re…
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