Polymarket (Global)
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?
November 30
Updated 1h ago · Settles Dec 1, 26 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
15¢
Bid 14¢ · Ask 15¢
Pricedger fair probability
12%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
29,251
Fine-print risk
52/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of Aden, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. "Aden" refers to the following districts of Aden Governorate, Yemen: Craiter (Si…
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