Polymarket (Global)
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?
October 31
Updated 58m ago · Settles Nov 1, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
14¢
Bid 14¢ · Ask 14¢
Pricedger fair probability
11%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.9 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
24,807
Fine-print risk
78/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period during which neither the Houthis nor Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against the other, following a qualifying military action (or market creation) that occurs on or before the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." Only qualifying military actions that occur after market creation count. The 14-…
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