Polymarket (Global)
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
Updated 23m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
4¢
Bid 4¢ · Ask 4¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+3.0 pts
On NO after fees · medium confidence
Volume
31,409
Fine-print risk
8/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
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