Polymarket (Global)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?
20°C
Updated 19m ago · Settles Oct 10, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
100¢
Bid 100¢ · Ask 100¢
Pricedger fair probability
99%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
44,967
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the o…
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