Polymarket (Global)
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on November 9?
7°C
Updated 15m ago · Settles Nov 9, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
1¢
Bid 1¢ · Ask 1¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
50,896
Fine-print risk
36/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at London City Airport (EGLC) on 9 Nov '26. The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for London City Airport (EGLC) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported. A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation an…
Full clause-by-clause forensic audit is available inside the terminal.
Whale flow & Smart Money Divergence
See whether large traders are positioning with or against the price move on this contract.
Model ensemble & AI Deep Dive
Quant, base-rate and AI estimates compared on one scale, with clause-level fine-print analysis.
Quarter-Kelly paper sizing
Exact stake, expected value and scenario matrix for your bankroll — paper trading only.
Locked previews show illustrative sample figures.
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology