Polymarket (Global)

GTA VI released by November 30?

November 30

Updated 21m ago · Settles Dec 1, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

96¢

Bid 95¢ · Ask 96¢

Pricedger fair probability

98%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+2.2 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

79,690

Fine-print risk

14/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If t…

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