Polymarket (Global)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

October 15

Updated 3m ago · Settles Oct 16, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

92¢

Bid 91¢ · Ask 92¢

Pricedger fair probability

94%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+2.0 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

118,326

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology