Polymarket (Global)
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?
December 31, 2026
Updated 1m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
8¢
Bid 7¢ · Ask 8¢
Pricedger fair probability
5%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
25,995
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consens…
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