Polymarket (Global)
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
October 2026 Meeting
Updated 32m ago · Settles Jan 29, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
1¢
Bid 1¢ · Ask 1¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
212,760
Fine-print risk
30/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for October 2026, currently scheduled for October 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no October meeting takes place by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been anno…
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