Polymarket (Global)
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Updated 4h ago · Settles Jan 1, 27 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
3¢
Bid 2¢ · Ask 4¢
Pricedger fair probability
2%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.1 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
252,530
Fine-print risk
30/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FO…
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