Polymarket (Global)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
200-219
Updated 6m ago · Settles Oct 13, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
13¢
Bid 12¢ · Ask 13¢
Pricedger fair probability
10%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.8 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
32,752
Fine-print risk
14/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted…
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