Polymarket (Global)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
200-219
Updated 4m ago · Settles Oct 9, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
29¢
Bid 28¢ · Ask 29¢
Pricedger fair probability
27%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.8 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
100,930
Fine-print risk
14/100
Resolution-rule audit
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology